Decade of Disorder
Daniel100.eth@daniel100eth
−2.4%
since Oct 6
The idea
I think the next decade stays volatile: more conflict, cyberattacks, energy strain, and shaky trust in institutions. To position for that, I hold defense and security tech alongside gold, oil, and uranium as hedges against instability, with cash on the side for flexibility. I'm not betting on any single name carrying it, and I plan to hold through cycles rather than trade the headlines. If the world settles into a calmer, more cooperative stretch, that's when I'd rethink the mix.
What it owns
- Militaries and police forces expand spending when global instability rises, driving demand for weapons, drones, surveillance, and public-safety equipment. · Palantir TechnologiesIt develops AI software for intelligence and military operations; governments and defense agencies expand spending on its platforms as geopolitical tensions grow., Lockheed MartinIt builds missiles, jets, and air defense systems that governments order in larger quantities when they perceive rising threats., Axon EnterpriseIt makes tasers, body cameras, and public-safety software; police and municipal budgets grow when social disorder and institutional distrust increase., AeroVironmentIt designs and sells drones to militaries; recent conflicts demonstrated drone importance, driving budget shifts toward unmanned systems and aerial platforms.44%
- Gold, oil, and uranium preserve value when conflict and institutional distrust shake confidence in paper assets and currencies. · SPDR Gold SharesIt tracks gold prices, which tend to rise when people lose faith in governments and currencies during periods of instability., Exxon MobilIt produces oil and gas at scale; supply shocks and energy insecurity during conflict periods push governments to secure reliable energy sources and support prices., CamecoIt supplies uranium to nuclear reactors; countries building new nuclear capacity and seeking alternatives to Russian fuel support long-term demand.37%
- State-sponsored hacking escalates with geopolitical disorder, forcing companies and governments to pay for advanced defense and threat detection. · CrowdStrike HoldingsIt defends against cyberattacks and data breaches; escalating state-sponsored hacking forces companies and governments to pay for top-tier threat detection and response.12%
- This bucket contains positions that diversify the take across sectors and strategies not covered by other thematic groups. · Rare earth elements face structural supply constraints as geopolitical tensions disrupt production and refining capacity across key markets.5%
- Cash2%