AI 原生一代的学习
Leo@leozhou
+1.1%
since Oct 10
The idea
I believe AI tutoring becomes standard for how kids learn, but the models underneath will get cheap and commoditized, so the real winners are the companies with proprietary curriculum, scarce content, and an integrated experience, not the raw AI layer. My basket splits between China's content-plus-learning-device players and research institutions, and global textbook and courseware publishers alongside daily-use learning apps and a curriculum-based school operator. I keep a meaningful cash slice to add on weakness and I'm thinking in years, not months.
What it owns
- Combines teaching content, self-developed software, hardware and AI into a single system that children use daily, with learning device revenue growing. · TAL Education GroupCombines learning hardware with proprietary teaching research and content into an integrated solution, with learning device revenue still growing., Youdao, Inc.Integrates dictionary content and teaching research into learning hardware like dictionary pens, creating unified content-plus-hardware experience.26%
- Owns textbooks and curriculum systems used in schools; as AI becomes cheaper, exclusive educational content becomes more valuable. · Pearson plcControls global textbooks, exams and curriculum content that represent scarce educational materials in the international market., McGraw Hill, Inc.Supplies complete K-12 and university curriculum systems to schools; integrated course frameworks are difficult for AI to replace., Scholastic CorporationOwns extensive children's books and branded content that children encounter from an early age, suitable for future AI-powered learning products., John Wiley & Sons, Inc.Holds professional and academic content licenses; as models become cheaper, exclusive content grows more valuable.25%
- Years of accumulated curriculum and teaching research teams represent scarce content that AI cannot replicate, allowing cheaper personalization. · New Oriental Education & Technology GroupHolds decades of teaching research and curriculum content that can be transformed into AI-powered learning products., Gaotu Techedu Inc.Built online courses and teaching teams from scratch, contributing Chinese teaching research capability to this take.15%
- Creates an experience with content and AI that brings children back every day, winning through user engagement rather than model capability. · Duolingo, Inc.Offers a daily-use AI learning app that grows with children, with daily active users and paying subscribers both expanding., Nerdy Inc.Combines human tutors with AI, betting that personalized service plus artificial intelligence creates differentiation in learning.14%
- Designs its own curriculum while serving students directly, integrating content creation and delivery as one business. · Stride, Inc.Operates online public schools selling complete K-12 curriculum systems, a course-based educational provider.7%
- Cash13%