Agentic Picks and Shovels
Joe@osprey
−4.8%
since Sep 29
The idea
I think AI agents move from demos to real spend over the next year or two, so I own the toolmakers that get paid either way: AMD for the server compute agent workloads run on, Cloudflare as the network they route through, Palo Alto for the security layer that lets software act on its own, and Shopify as the checkout rail agents will buy through. I hold all four at an equal 25% cap with no cash reserve, so this is fully invested and concentrated on purpose. That also means any one earnings report or piece of news can swing the whole basket hard, and there is no spare cash to add on weakness.
What it owns
- Agent workloads run on server CPUs, and the take bets on gaining share in the data center against competitors. · Advanced Micro DevicesServer CPU workloads for agents run on its processors, and share gains in the data center drive revenue growth.25%
- Agents route traffic through network gateways when they call tools and APIs, and the take captures that flow at the edge. · Cloudflare, Inc.It operates the network gateway that agents route through when calling tools and APIs, collecting on edge traffic as agent spending scales.25%
- Software acting autonomously needs security and permission controls, and the take bets on the broadest platform for agent security. · Palo Alto NetworksIt provides the security and permission platform companies need to let autonomous software act on its own.25%
- When agents make purchases instead of just answering questions, the take collects on every transaction through its checkout system. · Shopify Inc.Agent-driven purchases route through its checkout rail, and the take collects on every transaction agents make.25%