Winners of a Split World
Ben Burman@benb
−0.6%
since Oct 10
The idea
I believe the world is splitting into winners and losers, with AI pulling the gap wider, and I want to own both ends of that divide. The core sits in AI giants and steady consumer names built for a stretched economy, from cheap entertainment to luxury spending, with smaller stakes in policing, security, and detention companies tied to government contracts and election outcomes. I keep a small cash buffer and avoid oversized single-name bets, planning to hold for years unless the underlying trend toward polarization clearly reverses.
What it owns
- The largest technology companies are positioned to capture the majority of economic value created by artificial intelligence. · NVIDIAIt manufactures the processors that nearly every major technology company purchases for artificial intelligence infrastructure., AlphabetIt operates search, video platforms, artificial intelligence models and custom chips, positioning it among the few companies large enough to dominate artificial intelligence competition., MicrosoftIt provides artificial intelligence and cloud computing services to businesses through Azure and Office, capturing revenue as companies replace labor with software., Meta PlatformsIts social platforms capture hours from people with spare time while its virtual reality headsets represent the closest current equivalent to immersive digital spaces., AmazonIts cloud division rents artificial intelligence computing to businesses globally while its retail store attracts price-conscious shoppers stretching budgets.34%
- People with limited disposable income spend more time on low-cost entertainment and purchase food at discount retailers. · NetflixIt offers inexpensive streaming entertainment to people with more free time and limited discretionary spending., WalmartIt operates the largest discount grocery chain in most American markets, capturing shoppers who trade down during economic pressure., RobloxIt operates a virtual world platform where users spend extended hours engaging in games and social activities., Take-Two InteractiveIt develops major video game franchises that provide extended entertainment at low per-hour cost for players with significant idle time., Dollar GeneralIt operates discount variety stores in small towns and lower-income areas where shoppers purchase essentials at minimal prices., DraftKingsIt operates a mobile sports betting platform that attracts users with time and limited income seeking low-cost entertainment and gaming.25%
- Wealthy individuals continue to purchase luxury goods and services regardless of broader economic conditions. · FerrariIt manufactures supercars with waiting lists longer than production capacity, allowing prices to rise as wealthy buyers compete for limited inventory., General DynamicsIts Gulfstream division manufactures private jets for wealthy buyers while its defense operations generate steady government contracts., Toll BrothersIt develops luxury residential communities where many buyers purchase with cash, reducing sensitivity to interest rate changes., Ermenegildo ZegnaIt produces high-end menswear tailored to affluent customers who maintain luxury consumption regardless of economic cycles.19%
- Increased social division drives higher government spending on law enforcement equipment, emergency systems and public safety infrastructure. · Axon EnterpriseIt supplies police body cameras, conducted energy devices and supporting software on recurring subscription contracts to law enforcement agencies., Motorola SolutionsIt operates the radio networks and emergency dispatch systems that form the infrastructure backbone for public safety and law enforcement.10%
- Large-scale immigration enforcement creates government contracts for detention facilities, transportation and monitoring systems. · PalantirIt develops data analysis software used by government agencies for tracking and information management, including immigration enforcement operations., GEO GroupIt operates immigration detention facilities and electronic monitoring systems contracted by government immigration enforcement agencies., CoreCivicIt owns and operates detention centers rented by immigration enforcement agencies to house individuals during processing and deportation proceedings.7%
- Cash5%